Public football-model track record — graded against the closing line, timestamped, updated live.
Why closing-line value (CLV), not profit? Beating the closing price is the
professional benchmark for real edge: it needs hundreds of data points to mean something, not thousands.
Our sample is young, so we make no performance claims — we just log every call in the open,
timestamped, and grade it against the close. Judge the process, not a hot streak.
Closing-line value
…
loading
CLV trend — daily average (last 60 days)
loading…
Every flag, timestamped
Posted (UTC)
Match
Market
Selection
Taken
Close
CLV
Result
loading…
Counterfactual shadow record
Every day the engine scores every scanned fixture, not just the ones posted.
Fixtures clearing the tip threshold are logged as would-be picks and graded exactly like real ones —
a faster-growing evidence stream that can't be cherry-picked after the fact.
Engine score band
Graded
Wins
Win rate
Model calibration — do our 60%s win 60%?
loading…
Posted record (secondary — small sample, high variance)
Backtest lab — held-out walk-forward (historical simulation, not live results)
Season
Picks
Win rate
ROI
Avg CLV
Beat close
Page generated … · auto-refreshes every 60s ·
data updates live as tips post, closings capture and fixtures settle.