SHARPFOOTY RESEARCH
Public football-model track record — graded against the closing line, timestamped, updated live.
Why closing-line value (CLV), not profit? Beating the closing price is the professional benchmark for real edge: it needs hundreds of data points to mean something, not thousands. Our sample is young, so we make no performance claims — we just log every call in the open, timestamped, and grade it against the close. Judge the process, not a hot streak.

Closing-line value

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CLV trend — daily average (last 60 days)

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Every flag, timestamped

Posted (UTC)MatchMarketSelectionTakenCloseCLVResult
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Counterfactual shadow record

Every day the engine scores every scanned fixture, not just the ones posted. Fixtures clearing the tip threshold are logged as would-be picks and graded exactly like real ones — a faster-growing evidence stream that can't be cherry-picked after the fact.
Engine score bandGradedWinsWin rate

Model calibration — do our 60%s win 60%?

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Posted record (secondary — small sample, high variance)

Page generated · auto-refreshes every 60s · data updates live as tips post, closings capture and fixtures settle.